Inflation unlikely to reach 2% with current policies – Fed doc
Federal Reserve Bank (Fed) is unlikely to sustainably achieve a 2% inflation target with existing monetary policy, Fed San Francisco said in its Economic Letter released on Monday. According to Robert Amano, Thomas Carter, and Sylvain Leduc, creators of the research, the central bank’s current set of tools may “lead households to save more and consume less, while businesses set lower prices.”
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“Because of lower inflation expectations, our model suggests that inflation should hover around 1.7% during good economic times. The decline in inflation expectations feeds directly into weaker inflation, as forward-looking businesses set lower prices in anticipation of lower inflation in the future,” the economists said in the research report. They added that the Fed can count on “less conventional ‘policy space’ than in the past.”
Last week, the Federal Open Market Committee asserted that the “current stance of monetary policy was appropriate” while it expects Fed’s interest rates to remain unchanged for a while.
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